Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 0.000191 0.000207 0.000224 0.000243 0.000264 0.000288 0.000315
2024-10-13 0.000167 0.000189 0.000215 0.000246 0.000284 0.000329 0.000385
2024-10-20 0.000150 0.000175 0.000205 0.000243 0.000292 0.000351 0.000432
2024-10-27 0.000142 0.000170 0.000204 0.000250 0.000310 0.000387 0.000498
2024-11-03 0.000129 0.000158 0.000194 0.000243 0.000309 0.000398 0.000531
2024-11-10 0.000121 0.000150 0.000187 0.000239 0.000312 0.000413 0.000570
2024-11-17 0.000113 0.000142 0.000180 0.000234 0.000312 0.000424 0.000605
2024-11-24 0.000108 0.000137 0.000177 0.000234 0.000320 0.000446 0.000657
2024-12-01 0.000103 0.000133 0.000173 0.000234 0.000325 0.000465 0.000707
2024-12-08 0.000100 0.000130 0.000172 0.000236 0.000336 0.000492 0.000774
2024-12-15 0.000095 0.000125 0.000167 0.000233 0.000336 0.000503 0.000815
2024-12-22 0.000092 0.000122 0.000165 0.000233 0.000343 0.000524 0.000877
2024-12-29 0.000089 0.000120 0.000165 0.000237 0.000356 0.000559 0.000971
2025-01-05 0.000087 0.000119 0.000165 0.000241 0.000370 0.000599 0.001083
2025-01-12 0.000083 0.000114 0.000161 0.000238 0.000371 0.000614 0.001149
2025-01-19 0.000082 0.000114 0.000162 0.000244 0.000390 0.000664 0.001297
2025-01-26 0.000078 0.000109 0.000156 0.000237 0.000384 0.000666 0.001338
2025-02-02 0.000074 0.000105 0.000152 0.000234 0.000384 0.000679 0.001406
2025-02-09 0.000071 0.000101 0.000147 0.000229 0.000381 0.000687 0.001464
2025-02-16 0.000069 0.000099 0.000146 0.000229 0.000388 0.000714 0.001579
2025-02-23 0.000067 0.000097 0.000144 0.000228 0.000393 0.000739 0.001691
2025-03-02 0.000066 0.000096 0.000143 0.000231 0.000404 0.000779 0.001857
2025-03-09 0.000064 0.000093 0.000140 0.000227 0.000403 0.000790 0.001941